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relocated from ?? 2012.12.06

research

  • Prechter – socio-economics
  • Investment Tools – Quantitative Methods, Economics, Financial Reporting & Analysis, Corporate Finance
  • Asset Classes – Equity Investments, Fixed Income, Derivatives, Alternate Investments
  • risk analysis – economic assessment – crash, muddle through, consequences, indicators, inflation / deflation, exit strategies, risk tolerance
Asset class Risk ON Risk OFF 21OCT09 12NOV09 ETF 8OCT09 13NOV09
Treasuries Down Up 3.41 + 3.45 10-YEAR TREASURY NOTE (^TNX) TLT 97.83 – 93.92
US dollar Down Up 1.48 + 1.4855 EUR.USD UUP 22.32
Corporate bonds Up Down 3.67 – 3.53 10yr AAA JNK 37.52 + 38.05
Stocks Up Down 1081 + 1087 S&P 500 INDEX,RTH (^GSPC) SPY 106.76 + 109.62
Oil Up Down 77.26 – 76.36 Crude Oil CRUD.L 27.47
Gold Up Down 1053 + 1114 Gold GLD 103.64 + 109.74

..from Financial Reality 21 October 2009

  • Risk ON – growth and inflation
  • Risk OFF – recession and deflation

links

indicators

  • government spending, stimulus, bailouts, handouts
  • unemployment, mortgage defaults and foreclosures, commercial real estate
  • tax increases, ???
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